Costa Blanca Sales Volume Q2 2026: What the Leading Indicators Say
Wesna GroupQ2 official numbers land in late August. What the mortgage-approval data, listing-portal pageviews, and our own first-contact volumes show right now, and what to expect when INE and the Notariado publish.
Q2 2026 closes today, and the headline numbers will not land for another four to six weeks. The INE (National Statistics Institute) publishes its registered-deed home-sales series with a two-month lag, so the Q2 release is due in mid-to-late August. The Spanish notarial council (Consejo General del Notariado) publishes its faster transaction-record series about three weeks ahead of INE, which usually lands in the third week of July.
What we can say today is what the leading indicators already show, what the Q1 baseline was, and what to watch for in next month's releases.
What Q1 2026 looked like
Spain's INE reported home-sales transactions rose 12.9% year-on-year in Q1 2026, the strongest quarterly growth since Q2 2022. Coastal provinces ran ahead of the national figure: Alicante province recorded approximately 16.4% year-on-year, Murcia 15.1%, Valencia 14.8%. Madrid was the laggard at 9.2% – a sign that the demand is more weighted to second-home and foreign-buyer markets than to primary-residence urban.
Foreign buyers accounted for 21.4% of all national transactions in Q1 – up from 19.8% a year earlier. In Alicante province specifically, the foreign share crossed 35%, the highest provincial figure since 2017.
Read our INE Q1 2026 deep-dive for the full breakdown by region and price segment.
What the leading indicators say for Q2
Mortgage approvals. The Bank of Spain's monthly mortgage statistic (the Préstamos hipotecarios series) for April and May 2026 shows the running 3-month average up 9.8% year-on-year. Mortgage approvals lead transaction completions by 60 to 90 days, which means Q2 sales should land between +8% and +12% YoY.
Idealista visit volumes. Idealista's quarterly market report (April and May data) shows pageview activity on Alicante-province listings up 14% YoY and on Murcia listings up 11% YoY. Brit-targeted English-language session volume is up 22% YoY, the largest single-segment growth.
MASA portal first-contact volumes. Internal MASA data (the agent multi-listing portal we ingest from) shows enquiry volume on coastal properties in our active price band (€100,000–€400,000) up 7–10% versus the same month a year earlier. Our own first-contact form on this site recorded a 18% MoM increase from May to June.
Building permits. Ministerio de Vivienda granted 31,400 building permits nationally in April 2026, up 4% YoY. New-build supply remains the bottleneck in coastal markets, which is keeping resale prices firm.
What to expect when Q2 numbers actually land
A defensible forecast based on what the leading indicators show:
- National home sales for Q2 2026: +8% to +12% YoY (Q1 was +12.9%, momentum is cooling slightly but still positive).
- Coastal provinces (Alicante, Murcia, Málaga, Valencia, Balearics): +12% to +16% YoY, continuing to outpace inland.
- Foreign-buyer share nationally: 21–23%, slight further increase from Q1's 21.4%.
- Average price increase: +6% to +8% YoY (Q1 was +6.8%), with coastal coastal new-build runs running higher.
If the actual numbers land outside these ranges, the surprise is most likely on the upside – sustained mortgage approval growth from the European Central Bank rate-cutting cycle that ran through 2025 is still feeding through.
What this means for buyers right now
New-build queues are lengthening. Several developers we work with are quoting 18 to 24 months for completion on phases launched in 2026. If your timeline matters, the resale market remains the faster route.
Sub-€200,000 stock is tightening. The mid-2025 wave of inland Murcia and Costa Cálida buyers absorbed most of the under-€150,000 stock. What is left at that level tends to be older or needs renovation. Recent example listings in the band:
- WES-2431 – 2-bedroom Herrerías apartment, €125,900
- WES-2240 – 1-bedroom Lomas de Cabo Roig apartment, €147,500
Coastal Marina Alta and Costa del Sol pricing is firm above €400,000. This is the segment where second-home foreign buyers concentrate. Recent comparable inventory:
- WES-2278 – 2-bedroom Calpe apartment, €430,000
- WES-2038 – 1-bedroom Denia apartment, €260,000
- WG-12 – 3-bedroom Altea Hills detached bungalow, €350,000
What to watch next month
The Consejo General del Notariado publishes its Q2 transaction-count summary in mid-July. INE's full release follows in late August. The Bank of Spain quarterly housing-market financial-stability assessment publishes mid-October.
Browse the live catalogue for what is moving now, or contact us for a budget-specific brief that pulls our most relevant active stock together.
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